This page is for the CaiDa students taking the summer class "Principles of Statistics"
Answer to a classroom question:
If the true success probability of a binomial distribution is 0.6, is it more likely that we will observe 6 successes out of 10 independent trials than 3 successes out of 5?
The answer is no. Based on the binomial probability calculations, the probability that we observe 6 out of 10 is 210*0.6^6 *0.4^4 = 0.25. The probability that we observe 3 out of 5 is 10*0.6^3*0.4^2= 0.35.
2. Download this article to read (it is all right if you do not understand all the technical arguments in the article)
3. This file contains the slides that will be used in class for the airline example.
5. Class notes for July 9 (draft).
6. Class notes for July 10 (draft).
7. Class notes for July 11 (draft).
Information on the exam: The exam will be take-home. You need to email an electronic copy of your solutions (in Word or PDF) to zhoutingyou@163.com by midnight of July 14.